Archive for November, 2011

Scientific Conspiracy

November 19, 2011

Matt Ridley on the difference between science and pseudo-science

I meant to post a link to this extremely important lecture by the very remarkable science writer, Matt Ridley, and author of The Rational Optimist a week ago.

Many bloggers have commented on the importance of this lecture, and if there is only one account that people should read on the global warming fraud it is this one. Ridley manages to distil the essential elements of this saga in a very readable manner. It also contains an intriguing discussion of confirmation bias, and how none of us are immune to it. More frightening, is the research he quotes that shows the more you know, the more you fall for it.

Please take the time to read it.


November 19, 2011

It could get warmer … or colder. We don’t know !!!
The Australian has published what is apparently a leaked draft of the forthcoming IPCC Report. It looks at last as if the wheels have really started to fall off the climate change band wagon. Jo Nova goes straight to the “get-out-of-jail clause that’s really a bombshell”:

“Uncertainty in the sign of projected changes in climate extremes over the coming two to three decades is relatively large because climate change signals are expected to be relatively small compared to natural climate variability”.

Translated: The natural climate forces are stronger than we thought, and we give up, we can’t say whether it will get warmer or colder in the next twenty years.

She continues:

This multipurpose prediction means that in the future, if it’s colder, they’re right; if it’s warmer, they’re right; and they have it covered for more or less storms, floods, droughts, blizzards and frost too.

And then there’s the perpetual-motion aspect of the threat. Greenhouse gases might not be dominant now (like they’ve been saying for the last 20 years) but they will be, they tell us. They will be! Look out! The storms are coming, we’re all doomed. (Well we definitely absolutely might be.) Got that?

Read on about these climate change believers, modifying their views, emphasising conditionalities, and managing to sound unsurprised at these monumentous admissions.

And of course the exit clauses:

We might have been wrong about CO2 causing the disasters, but disasters are still coming. More people are going to die from climate catastrophes because there are lots more people! See, “we were right all along to be concerned about the climate”. (Just not quite right about the cause).

I predict many highly visible people in the ABC and wider commentariat will follow the same pattern. Robyn “100 metres” Williams didn’t feel any shame or embarrassment when questioned by Andrew Bolt over his very silly and totally unscientific claim of pending 100 metre sea level rises. Tim  Flannery has proved incapable of self analysis of his many irresponsible predictions on droughts, and Will Stephan managed to play a straight bat on the Bolt Report last week on the disconnect between alarmist predictions and the actual weather.

There will be many others in the ABC to follow. But don’t expect any mea culpas. Being of the Left, as we know, means never having to say you are sorry.

Why our Carbon tax is crazy

November 10, 2011

The European Titanic

November 9, 2011

Not de fault of the Greeks

The Speccie has a wonderful editorial on the European dept crisis and why we should not blame the Greeks. It suggests no one should be surprised.

 After all, the Greeks pioneered default as well as democracy: the first recorded example of bankruptcy was when ten Greek municipalities defaulted on loans from the Delos Temple in 4th century bc. Greece has defaulted five times in the past two centuries.

For the European leaders, this really looks like a shuffling of the deckchairs. Added to that the despair shown by Mark Steyn on the incompetence of Barack Obama in After America, demonstrates a complete paralysis of the political class anywhere to do anything.

Thinking of the deckchair analogy is uncannily accurate. The West is traveling in a cosy, luxurious state of the art Titanic with an infinite horizon of prosperity and debt accumulation that we all believe cannot sink.

Yes, that is it.

Greece will never be run like Germany, and all the summits in the world will not change this simple fact. The deluded eurozone leaders still think otherwise, flying here and there yet getting nowhere. Each new set of crisis talks seems to take them further away not only from reality, but from the people they represent. The EU leaders now live in a fantasy world of acronyms, and talk as if they actually have a trillion euros to spend. None seem to realise yet that they are arguing atop a mountain of debt, built upon debt.

Ergas on Qantas

November 3, 2011

How the Fair Work Act encourages blackmail and falling productivity

Henry Ergas gives us a clear outline of the role of Julia Gillard’s Fair Work Act, along with her and her cabinet’s lack of action, to the fiasco over Qantas.

Most of Australia understands, despite the beat-up by pro-union commentators and the protests of the Labor government, that Alan Joyce is a hero. What the Fair Work Act does is to encourage industrial sabotage and blackmail and increase inefficiency.

First, as Gillard told the ABC’s 7.30, companies such as Qantas are important to her “because they provide jobs to working Australians”. Not because they create wealth by successfully competing on world markets; not because they meet the needs of consumers; but because “they are major employers”, presumably of unionised workers.

Rarely has an Australian prime minister so thoroughly confused means and ends.